← NA Nationals 2025

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at NA Nationals 2025

decks
10 (4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
67 17-41-9
overall winrate
32.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.6% avg ELO -5.9 per match
expected value
41.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1338 · median 1318 · range 1083–1679 (10 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1311 Q3 1469 1750
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 26.2% 21 6-13-2 33.3% 36.0% 38.5% -4.4
Fire Aggro 11.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 70.8% +20.0
Water Genbu 10.0% 6 0-5-1 8.3% 25.0% 23.9% -13.9
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -0.6
Wind Luxem Zander 5.2% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 35.2% -11.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 5 0-5-0 0.0% 22.2% 14.5% -20.4
Wind Allies 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.3% -12.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.8% 4 0-2-2 25.0% 37.5% 29.7% -13.0
Wind Seiryuu 3.8% 4 2-0-2 75.0% 62.5% 62.6% +8.1
Fire Suzaku 2.9% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 27.0% -17.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.2% -12.6
Water Allies 1.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.7% -2.2
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.0% -16.0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.2% -12.5
Water Crux Lorraine 1.0% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.0% +17.5
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 0.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.1% -17.4
Fire Crux Mage 0.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.8% +2.8
Fire Exia Jin 0.5% 0
Fire Kongming 0.5% 0
Seiryuu 0.5% 0
Water Kongming 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.2
Water Neos 0.5% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.5% 0
Water Seiryuu 0.5% 0
Water Tera Cleric 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.9% +20.7
Water Tera Kongming 0.5% 0
Wind Arcane 0.5% 0
Wind Byakko 0.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.7% -18.1
Wind Crux Mage 0.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Wind Exia 0.5% 0
Wind Lorraine 0.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.5% -18.4
Wind Overlord 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.6
Wind Razorgale 0.5% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.7% +7.6
Wind Wakeup Combo 0.5% 0
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Dungeon Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Coronation Ceremony +1.00 1 0 0
Dawn's Reversal -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Harvest Herbs +1.00 1 0 0
Wisdom's Reprise -1.00 0 1 0
Meteor Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Horticounter -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/25810/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric